Monday, January 19, 2009

Are Fenders Required On Trailers?

Ra (h) rer bright spot on the medial firmament

Alexander Rahr, Russia expert at the German Council on Foreign Policy e. V. proves once again that he is a rare exception among all the positive Quiring, Reiter, Klussmann, striker, Poznan, Donath and the rest of them. In his review worth reading Tagesspiegel he responds pleasantly clear to a draft post of a typical hysterical phrase russia critical reader with Polish last names on the current issues in the energy sector.

Alexander Rahr is the author of several books on Russia, where he takes up political, economic and social issues. He speaks fluent Russian and has shown over the years as a highly competent, balanced and argumentative political scientist. On the basis of his contributions one can say that Russia is not he, unlike many other members of his trade perceives as a dire threat but as a complex and unique system in transformation, which he brings an open mind and scientific curiosity.

Friday, January 9, 2009

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tearing away and starve

The gas dispute between Ukraine and Russia has reached before the horrified eyes of European public to the extent and duration that places the conflict three years ago in the shade. To understand who is responsible for the conflict and who makes everyone hostage, one only needs a little reasoning and background knowledge.

Between the two countries exists independently of bilateral trade is a transit contract until the end of 2010, with Russia after the recent controversy hoped the recurring sales negotiations with Ukraine a separate for all time to time by the transit issues, which is also in the interest of energy security of Europe. Far from it. Ukraine is interested in breaking and choking to maintain the connection between the two points. Since market prices are unaffordable for them, is the only thing they can throw into the scales the other hand, the blackmail of a blockade or at least the unabashed diversion of all the quantities they need themselves. Again, this amounts to a blockade, as Gazprom can not resell. Contracts are supported by the Ukrainian side simply ignored and not remain worth the paper on which they were printed.

This includes the painfully negotiated agreement on pipeline observers to Kiev signed after much wrangling with its unilaterally inserted supplements ultimately in its original form. A solution of the dispute seemed near, but the next day the agreement was already worthless. Overnight, Kiev is "occurred" means that the transmission requires technical gas that would provide Moscow, otherwise further blocked. Here, the transit treaty providing technical gas clearly defined as Ukrainian task. And Kiev has also without Russian supplies plenty of opportunities on their own promotions or stored quantities to meet its contractual obligations. But who are interested in these days contracts and commitments? Kiev is suddenly that without a supply contract and an agreed price and not a technical gas for transit is available. Thus, attempts to link the transit but still with bilateral trade.

Russia, the stockout loses $ 120 million a day, not long-term consequences of loss of image included, can have on the ongoing gas block any interest. This is for every child, you can not seem however to European Politicians and the media. It is true that from the beginning, apart from some exceptions to watch something less sweeping anti-Russian hysteria than three years ago, but the overlay of geopolitical interests, the Ukraine as a "democratic friend" of the West and Russia as one to be isolated categorize threat that your did. Despite a clear anti-Ukrainian situation that arises especially after the arrival of the observers, the media, balancing on the thin line between propaganda and wishful sad reality. It speaks at once predominantly abstract distance himself from the guilt of search and raises "two fighting cocks" preferably in a pot. EU politicians should Barroso "To sue both countries," the suffering Balkans, while nine wise use experts, the situation continues to preach the rejection of Russian deliveries. not look out of unpleasant truths idea was exactly during the Caucasus war, the motto. Here lies the danger for Europe, especially in drawing false conclusions and inaccurate problem source identification. With sub-optimal and expensive replacement energy solutions that are based on spasmodic panic Russia, Europe would be punished, especially himself. Natural gas from Russia is the best combination of price, reliability and environmental friendliness. Only the chaotic transit give this Russian-European symbiosis potential big problem.

revenge As it is incorrectly defined geopolitical priorities. Ukraine got an aggressive nationalist puppet as president, although brought the unworthy mutual mauling of the Eastern Slavs in the eyes of the world excellent in transition. However, it could pay for the lack of Western willingness to assist Ukraine in its enormous problems at the same time seriously and as such all the things they can not pay for itself, be the whole enterprise from the beginning, not an unqualified success can be. The spirits which they called with the NGO-funded Orange Revolution, is one does not let go, because Ukraine proposes in the desperate situation even more wildly around. The mourners also Europe is itself a lactating mother of the fun of it be torn away and against rampant tiger cubs, was used and left alone because no one wanted to care for him instead. Now this being is dependent on the starvation convicted bites but strong in his agony. As long as we still want to deceive the media about this development?